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Marcio Kabke Pinheiro

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  1. Sad
    Marcio Kabke Pinheiro got a reaction from newfoundmass in Coronavirus survey part 2 - how are work & incomes going?   
    Menawhile, as predicted, here in Brazil things are escalating quickly. Already in the ballpark of 2300 deaths per day, now we are on top of the ranking.

    South states are already collapsed - lot of cities with 110% of capacity in the ICU's. Troves of people in the 25-40 years old dying with the P1 variant. Here in São Paulo, the largest and richier city, the health system is target to collapse in 10 days.

    And still, no very strict lockdown enforced - even with the Araraquara example, the 1st city to collapse, the only one that made a more-or-less lockdown (we never had a REAL lockdown in Brazil) that resulted in a 70% reduction of new cases after 12 days. Or the Portugal example (in which @Emanuelcould talk more properly than me).

    And since the central government demises masks and vaccines (today was announced the fourth REDUCTION of the vaccines available for the month, since March 1st the number decreased by 60%), we will go to the 3000-4000 deaths per day very soon.

    Again: just hope to be alive to be here in 2022.
  2. Sad
    Marcio Kabke Pinheiro got a reaction from EphraimP in Coronavirus survey part 2 - how are work & incomes going?   
    Menawhile, as predicted, here in Brazil things are escalating quickly. Already in the ballpark of 2300 deaths per day, now we are on top of the ranking.

    South states are already collapsed - lot of cities with 110% of capacity in the ICU's. Troves of people in the 25-40 years old dying with the P1 variant. Here in São Paulo, the largest and richier city, the health system is target to collapse in 10 days.

    And still, no very strict lockdown enforced - even with the Araraquara example, the 1st city to collapse, the only one that made a more-or-less lockdown (we never had a REAL lockdown in Brazil) that resulted in a 70% reduction of new cases after 12 days. Or the Portugal example (in which @Emanuelcould talk more properly than me).

    And since the central government demises masks and vaccines (today was announced the fourth REDUCTION of the vaccines available for the month, since March 1st the number decreased by 60%), we will go to the 3000-4000 deaths per day very soon.

    Again: just hope to be alive to be here in 2022.
  3. Sad
    Marcio Kabke Pinheiro got a reaction from newfoundmass in Coronavirus survey part 2 - how are work & incomes going?   
    Man, I wish that I was there now (my best friend lives in Wellington).

    Here in Brazil will be probably the most tragical month in the last decades. The Amazon corona variant looks VERY deadly and transmissible - we had the first 200.000 deaths in the first 11 months, and the next 50.000 in...two months.

    Cities around here with 200.000 to 300.000 people had already collapsed - there are no more ICU units available. Zero. People are starting already dying waiting for a ICU unit.

    I live in São Paulo, the biggest city here (12 million people), and there are no more ICU units it the 5 biggest private hospitals of the city. Public hospital will have no more units soon too. The death rate of 30-40 year old people (with no comorbities) are climbing steadily. Only in the past week, 4 relatives of friends of mine had died of Covid.

    Vaccination? EUA is giving around 2 million shot per day. We have 6 million...since Jan 17th.

    And our president continues to sabotage any big vaccination effort. The most available vaccine that we have is the chinese Coronavac, but it refuses to buy too much of it because it is made by a state facility from the local governor, which is his political adversary (and another SOB). It refuses to get the Pfizer one too.Only moved to get 20 million doses fron Indian Covaxin because...the negotiation have a middle company the is involved in various cases of corruption. And only shows in public without masks (even getting children in his lap), saying that masks causes "suffocation" and don't prevent Covid.

    The result: Brasil is becoming an open field to Covid evolve, due to the lack of vaccination - with a low percentage of people vaccinated, it becomes easier to the virus to evolve by natural selection. We will become a threat, and probably will become pariahs in the world.

    I just want to be alive in 2022, since is almost certain that I will not be vaccinated in 2021 (i'm almost 50 years old).
  4. Sad
    Marcio Kabke Pinheiro got a reaction from EphraimP in Coronavirus survey part 2 - how are work & incomes going?   
    Man, I wish that I was there now (my best friend lives in Wellington).

    Here in Brazil will be probably the most tragical month in the last decades. The Amazon corona variant looks VERY deadly and transmissible - we had the first 200.000 deaths in the first 11 months, and the next 50.000 in...two months.

    Cities around here with 200.000 to 300.000 people had already collapsed - there are no more ICU units available. Zero. People are starting already dying waiting for a ICU unit.

    I live in São Paulo, the biggest city here (12 million people), and there are no more ICU units it the 5 biggest private hospitals of the city. Public hospital will have no more units soon too. The death rate of 30-40 year old people (with no comorbities) are climbing steadily. Only in the past week, 4 relatives of friends of mine had died of Covid.

    Vaccination? EUA is giving around 2 million shot per day. We have 6 million...since Jan 17th.

    And our president continues to sabotage any big vaccination effort. The most available vaccine that we have is the chinese Coronavac, but it refuses to buy too much of it because it is made by a state facility from the local governor, which is his political adversary (and another SOB). It refuses to get the Pfizer one too.Only moved to get 20 million doses fron Indian Covaxin because...the negotiation have a middle company the is involved in various cases of corruption. And only shows in public without masks (even getting children in his lap), saying that masks causes "suffocation" and don't prevent Covid.

    The result: Brasil is becoming an open field to Covid evolve, due to the lack of vaccination - with a low percentage of people vaccinated, it becomes easier to the virus to evolve by natural selection. We will become a threat, and probably will become pariahs in the world.

    I just want to be alive in 2022, since is almost certain that I will not be vaccinated in 2021 (i'm almost 50 years old).
  5. Sad
    Marcio Kabke Pinheiro got a reaction from ntblowz in Coronavirus survey part 2 - how are work & incomes going?   
    Man, I wish that I was there now (my best friend lives in Wellington).

    Here in Brazil will be probably the most tragical month in the last decades. The Amazon corona variant looks VERY deadly and transmissible - we had the first 200.000 deaths in the first 11 months, and the next 50.000 in...two months.

    Cities around here with 200.000 to 300.000 people had already collapsed - there are no more ICU units available. Zero. People are starting already dying waiting for a ICU unit.

    I live in São Paulo, the biggest city here (12 million people), and there are no more ICU units it the 5 biggest private hospitals of the city. Public hospital will have no more units soon too. The death rate of 30-40 year old people (with no comorbities) are climbing steadily. Only in the past week, 4 relatives of friends of mine had died of Covid.

    Vaccination? EUA is giving around 2 million shot per day. We have 6 million...since Jan 17th.

    And our president continues to sabotage any big vaccination effort. The most available vaccine that we have is the chinese Coronavac, but it refuses to buy too much of it because it is made by a state facility from the local governor, which is his political adversary (and another SOB). It refuses to get the Pfizer one too.Only moved to get 20 million doses fron Indian Covaxin because...the negotiation have a middle company the is involved in various cases of corruption. And only shows in public without masks (even getting children in his lap), saying that masks causes "suffocation" and don't prevent Covid.

    The result: Brasil is becoming an open field to Covid evolve, due to the lack of vaccination - with a low percentage of people vaccinated, it becomes easier to the virus to evolve by natural selection. We will become a threat, and probably will become pariahs in the world.

    I just want to be alive in 2022, since is almost certain that I will not be vaccinated in 2021 (i'm almost 50 years old).
  6. Like
    Marcio Kabke Pinheiro reacted to leslie in Coronavirus survey part 2 - how are work & incomes going?   
    I work in a factory running cnc machines and lately a waterjet. I dabble in video for a hobby.  I got laid off, not long after covid hit here in aus and nearly everything got shut down. Spent about six- eight months off work. Ended up withdrawing 20k out of my super, as allowed by the government at the time. Paid the mortgage off and bought a 3 year old Mitsubishi outlander.
    Some might say I haven't had it too tough, and I can't say that I blame them for thinking that.
    Here in Australia we haven't experienced the death rates in other countries. Whether that's due to the government initiatives or a smaller population more spread out or dumb luck, I couldn't tell. But I am however grateful as I have some rare bug called sarcoidosis which would probably not play well with covid, if I were to catch it. While covid hasn't had the same impact here mortality wise, financially it's probably  near crippled a lot of people, families, government. 
    Long time ago I remember a saying ask not what your country can do for you, but rather, what can you do for your country.  Personally I think it might the time to focus a bit less on myself and some more on where I can help others,and maybe video something along the way.
     

  7. Thanks
    Marcio Kabke Pinheiro reacted to Tim Sewell in Coronavirus survey part 2 - how are work & incomes going?   
    Medically justified, temporary, standard public health measures aimed at containing a deadly pandemic are not slavery - the view of the world betrayed by such a characterisation is either simplistic or solipsistic.
    I'm very sorry for your father's suffering - but really, what is the alternative? Do hospitals allow normal visiting by relatives and friends who may unknowingly be spreading a virus that could kill not only the patient concerned but also many others in the hospital who are highly vulnerable? Or do they devote hours of scarce nursing time helping said visitors to don PPE to a clinical standard?
    All of the measures enacted around the world have their basis in the fact that we are faced with a virus that many can spread without even realising they're infected, but which for many others is a death sentence. In other words - they call upon those who in the main can withstand the infection to temporarily undergo some personal detriment - be it economic, social, emotional or to their own mental health in order to protect their fellow citizens who might not be so lucky.
    You say it's your right to take the personal risk of getting sick or dying. But what of the health worker treating you who you infect and goes on to die, or to have their life blighted by long Covid? What of the rights of the key worker infected because they have no choice but to continue to work and mix who is denied a hospital bed because you - who was exercising his rights - have taken it up due to entirely avoidable infection? Why do your 'rights' (really just a conviction that you shouldn't be inconvenienced or disappointed along with everybody else) trump theirs?
  8. Thanks
    Marcio Kabke Pinheiro reacted to Tim Sewell in Coronavirus survey part 2 - how are work & incomes going?   
    I wonder it what possible universe being asked to reduce social contact and to take simple precautions like wearing a mask in enclosed spaces, during a pandemic that has so far killed half a million Americans (and many more the world over) can be characterised as 'slavery'. I mean, it's not like there's any shortage of examples of *actual* slavery available to see in the historical record of the good ol' USA.
  9. Downvote
    Marcio Kabke Pinheiro reacted to TheDudeAbides in Coronavirus survey part 2 - how are work & incomes going?   
    1,000/day relocating to Florida tells me that many are not embarrassed by Florida. 
    I am saddened for the mental and emotional destructiveness the paranoia has caused. To me that's worse than the cause. Personally I would rather die free than survive as a slave. That's just me. I know many would disagree. 
    Cheers. 
  10. Sad
    Marcio Kabke Pinheiro got a reaction from EphraimP in Coronavirus survey part 2 - how are work & incomes going?   
    I'm one of the amateurs here; my job is TI, government company. Very, very lucky in the financial side - moved to home office since March 2020 (a thing that I would want even without Covid - ZERO needs to waste 1h30 commuting every day, and have more resources, like better monitors, than in my workplace), no income cutting, could stay safe.

    Work exploded in pressure though - our team take care of two systems, one that demanded 95% of the work (10 people in the team), the other make a statistical report and basically ran once a year.

    But this 5% system became used as the database of the government emergency money distribution, and now take most of the team (that is constantly making 10 hours day shifts). I'm one of the few that is taking care of the larger system - my workload almost quadrupled.

    With a 2 year old that could not go to school (it opened this week, but opted to keep her in home - the Amazon variant of Covid is starting to spread throughout Brazil and already collapsed some smaller cities near here, in one week the ICU cases simply DOUBLED), my wife taking care of her (and not working), one of our cats dying and probably another one dying soon, and almost no outdoor / resting time, the head is melting away.

    And I REALLY could consider myself fortunate - a father of a friend died from covid last week, several friends got Covid, even staying at home (none have serious problems, thank god), most of my friends are having VERY hard times to pay the bills. And we have a genocide president here that is doing almost nothing to get people vaccinated.

    Just hoping to get through this with sanity. And moving out of the country when possible (Brazilians will became the parish of the world because of the criminal government) and when economy rebounds. There is no hope left here.
  11. Haha
    Marcio Kabke Pinheiro got a reaction from IronFilm in Panasonic GH6   
    Well, Panasonic was working on something:

    https://www.theverge.com/2021/2/18/22289331/panasonic-farting-cat-robot
  12. Haha
    Marcio Kabke Pinheiro got a reaction from Emanuel in Canon R1 Rumor Spec. and Camera to be launched in Yr 2021   
    Toneh would probably exchange Chelsea for it. 🙂
  13. Haha
    Marcio Kabke Pinheiro got a reaction from Video Hummus in Canon R1 Rumor Spec. and Camera to be launched in Yr 2021   
    Toneh would probably exchange Chelsea for it. 🙂
  14. Like
    Marcio Kabke Pinheiro reacted to Paul Jonathan in Blackmagic Camera Update Feb 17   
    This AF and IBIS question always pops up with BMD and is starting to feel redundant. I don't think it will ever happen in a Blackmagic Camera for the following reasons:
    - Blackmagic is cine-oriented towards workflows where these features are not needed
    - IBIS and internal NDs are largely incompatible, BMD has chosen the latter
    - Good AF requires a large amount of R&D, patents and/or licensing - BMD neither has the patents nor have they shown any interest to pay for licensing - this is to keep their products cheap.
    This is a perfect summary of the subject and it actually made laugh, because it's so simple and to the point. May I add to that. Many cameras have good autofocus. Many cameras have not. This one doesn't and won't unless there are rapid technological advances (LIDAR or similar) and BMD decides to incorporate them.
  15. Haha
    Marcio Kabke Pinheiro got a reaction from Trek of Joy in Canon R1 Rumor Spec. and Camera to be launched in Yr 2021   
    Olympus said that their 6 stop IBIS is hard to improve because of the Earth rotation...I guess that when you power up this Canon the planet will go backwards (hope that prices too).
  16. Like
    Marcio Kabke Pinheiro got a reaction from Thpriest in Panasonic GH6   
    Well, Panasonic was working on something:

    https://www.theverge.com/2021/2/18/22289331/panasonic-farting-cat-robot
  17. Haha
    Marcio Kabke Pinheiro got a reaction from currensheldon in Panasonic GH6   
    Well, Panasonic was working on something:

    https://www.theverge.com/2021/2/18/22289331/panasonic-farting-cat-robot
  18. Haha
    Marcio Kabke Pinheiro got a reaction from Video Hummus in Panasonic GH6   
    Well, Panasonic was working on something:

    https://www.theverge.com/2021/2/18/22289331/panasonic-farting-cat-robot
  19. Like
    Marcio Kabke Pinheiro got a reaction from pixelpreaching in $6000 cameras could be the norm soon?   
    Don't know the reality on other markets - but here, having a Sim card in the camera would get zero sales.

    People here use its smartphone SIM for all the mobile traffic. Notebooks and other deviced are used in tethered wifi connections - except a couple of financial market friends, no one have a dedicated sim card for their notebooks or iPads when the devices have the option.

    Mobile fees are kind of expensive here - and, oddly, data-only SIM card plans are MUCH more expensive than the phone ones.

    As people don't want to spend more money to have two devices to take photos, people don't want to pay two connections for their devices.
    Some mobile apps (Panasonic and Fuji) already have the option to automatically import all the photos that you take with the camera. But you still have to open the app and have it connected - the Bluetooth enabled cameras make the connection process easier, but still slow because of the wifi handshake protocol.

    Direct upload to the social networks, even if the camera suports it, have hassles too: people could want to put some filter (more computational need), cameras would need a good keyboard, with prediction and hashtags, and the most glaring problem: the social networks are closing their APIs for 3rd party vendors. They WANT you to use the app, to monetize targeted ads.
  20. Like
    Marcio Kabke Pinheiro got a reaction from currensheldon in SONY FX3 new camera to be announced   
    In fact, I was in a Zoom Fuji meeting yesterday (the subject was the X-S10) and they said that Boost mode must be used only with static shots - it is designed to be tripod-steady. If you do some pans or movements, the Boost mode will "fight" and have jerky behaviour.
  21. Like
    Marcio Kabke Pinheiro got a reaction from IronFilm in SONY FX3 new camera to be announced   
    Looks like by the size of the LCD hinges that they made the same tilt/flip articulation of the S1H (or maybe is just a flip and the bulkiness is because of the rear vents).

    For a video camera, controls looks good. The joystick on top is strange, but in video I guess that you don't move the focus point too ofter - and if you need a quick point change (between two subjects), the touchscreen is better.

    The hotshoe have extra contacts, guess that a XLR adaptor and (maybe) an external EVF is a possibility.

    In fact, get this form factor, make it thinner, rearrange the controls a bit (back joystick, af/mf switch, a mode dial) and Sony could have a winner A7000.
  22. Like
    Marcio Kabke Pinheiro got a reaction from Thpriest in SONY FX3 new camera to be announced   
    Well, gyro stabilization comes with a huge crop - problematic with wide angle shots.
  23. Like
    Marcio Kabke Pinheiro got a reaction from IronFilm in AMC cinema chain saved / Reddit memes the stock market   
    Looking at the development of this GME/AMC story very closely - put a couple bucks in both to see what hapṕens. In fact, if I was a financial journalist, would start right now to get deep in the events to make a book, for sure will be a good one, with a lot of lessons - and probably a bad taste in the end. But would be very good to show how the gears of the machine works.

    About the stocks behaviour, purely from a trading point, between the Redditors and the funds. At friday, the prices were remarkbly stable after the usual jump in the pre-market - looks like the reddit had won. I guessed that probably the funds would spend the weekend developing a tactic together, and it looks like the case.

    Friday was a critical day because was the last day to trade a lot of stock options - granted, did not research to see the gross numbers of the options. This options are a big part of the Redditors strategy - the other (and probably bigger) are the shorted stocks, which did not have a due date but you have to rent them and pay interest rate, that probably is going higher by the day too. These are their assumptions.

    Yesterday both stocks dropped their price very sharply and continuously during the day. And are having another huge drop now in the premarket (GME at 156 and AMC at 9.91). To know what exactly happend you have to do a lot of digging in stock statistic sites - which I don't have the knowledge or time to do. Could be sells from people that cannot handle the losses (the late ones that arrived at the party) or, most probably, short ladder attacks orchestrated by the funds, since it looks like that the volumes are not very big. 

    Don't know exactly the NYSE timings for the exercise of the options, which will make the funds that have put options buy GME/AMC shares; in teh WSB some people say that it is today. If it is the case, probably the funds will spend the day on the phone coordinating operations to make the price drop the most that they can, before having to buy the stocks to cover their puts and lower their losses.

    But if I was a hedge fund, besides the short ladder attacks, I would have used the high volatility created by WSB to profit, shorting even more GME stocks before the orchestrated actions that they know will make the price go down - WBS have millions of user, but hedge funds have billions of money. Or even mounted a straddle option operation, which will profit if the stock goes very high or drop a lot (don't know the actual volatility numbers to see if it would be profitable, probably would be).

    Rooting for WSB, but the odds probably are not on their side. And if the SEC would take a side in the question, for sure will be in the funds side - at least saying that "intervention was needed to prevent a sistemic risk to the market" or something like that.
  24. Sad
    Marcio Kabke Pinheiro got a reaction from IronFilm in AMC cinema chain saved / Reddit memes the stock market   
    Agree with you - I use a very unknown brokerage and even them are blocking AMC and GME eventually.

    And legal actions will be refuted in the sake of the "sistemic risk" and "liquidity of the markets" argument. I live in a country (Brazil) that make bails with this argument in each 3 to 4 years. The "club" is always protected.

    And be sure that when this story were not in the front pages anymores, new "market manipulations" laws will be created to make WSB foruns unlawful (here a Telegram forum was created with the same logic and the creators shut it down in 2 days after a direct threat from the CVM, the local SEC).
  25. Haha
    Marcio Kabke Pinheiro got a reaction from Juank in Digital cameras shipments at 1990s levels in 2020   
    All the survivors will be marked with a red dot. 🙂
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