KnightsFan Posted March 8, 2020 Share Posted March 8, 2020 15 hours ago, Mokara said: The 3.5% number is arrived at by dividing deaths by the sum of active and closed cases, and therefore is not correct because it ignores the 15% of active cases that are in serious or critical condition. About a third of those people will probably die (that is the group new deaths are coming from - people who are classified as mild cases are not dying). They should only be using the closed cases for calculating the mortality rate, and currently that is 5.7%, not 3.5%. The mortality rate is slowly decreasing (it has gone from 6.1% to 5.7% over the last week or so), but that is not because they are picking up milder cases, but rather because they are becoming more experienced treating the critical patients and starting the treatment earlier for high risk patients so they are less likely to reach that point. Definitely. But on the other wise, it is worth mentioning that the number doesn't include anyone who got coronavirus, but was not sick enough to go to the doctor and have it officially identified. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Emanuel Posted March 8, 2020 Share Posted March 8, 2020 6% of deaths (closed cases) 14% in serious or critical condition (infected) https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/ Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mokara Posted March 8, 2020 Share Posted March 8, 2020 The number of people in serious or critical condition should decrease as medical care facilities become more experienced in treating cases, so the number of deaths per infection should decrease as we get further into the pandemic (in developed countries anyway - developing countries are another story, but the epidemic has not reached them for the most part yet). If you look at the historical mortality rate for the virus in closed cases you can see this. At first it was quite high, but as numbers increased it decreased, although the rate of decrease is quite low now. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
heart0less Posted March 9, 2020 Share Posted March 9, 2020 Well, I didn't have to wait long - there is a case of COVID-19 in the hospital where I'm having my classes right now. He's on a proper isolation ward, but still. We, students, are to avoid any contact with all the patients, since we're almost perfect vectors for the virus, but are still obliged to attend our courses, even though all we do is having countless seminars. Plain stupid, if you ask me. IronFilm and kaylee 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geoff CB Posted March 9, 2020 Share Posted March 9, 2020 I'm the manager of a movie theater on Cape Cod, our business has been absolutely tanking this month compared to last year. I'm glad my wife works from home in medical billing and coding, because if it gets bad here we will have to close temporarily. 75% of our customers this time of year are over the age of 65. IronFilm, heart0less, Video Hummus and 1 other 1 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
heart0less Posted March 11, 2020 Share Posted March 11, 2020 All schools / kindergartens / universities are going to be closed here, starting tomorrow. Up to 25th March. Huh, maybe I'll finally have some time to record my entry for The Single Soviet Prime Lens Challenge.. leslie and kaylee 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MeanRevert Posted March 11, 2020 Share Posted March 11, 2020 On 3/5/2020 at 7:54 AM, homestar_kevin said: I'm left wondering when NAB will be affected/cancelled No way NAB is gonna happen this year with all the companies pulling out Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Trek of Joy Posted March 11, 2020 Share Posted March 11, 2020 I work in tourism, lots of trade shows, conferences, gatherings and sporting events are being cancelled. I'd be surprised if NAB actually happens. My bet is before officially announcing, they're looking at how to break the contracts without paying stiff penalties - many exhibitors are probably doing the same. Chris Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Super Members BTM_Pix Posted March 11, 2020 Super Members Share Posted March 11, 2020 NAB is officially off now. https://nabshow.com/2020/attend/onsite-services/coronavirus-update-and-resources/ Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Emanuel Posted March 12, 2020 Share Posted March 12, 2020 There are sportsmen, movie stars, ministers of health contaminated... https://www.espn.com/soccer/juventus/story/4072688/juventus-defender-daniele-rugani-tests-positive-for-coronavirus https://edition.cnn.com/2020/03/11/entertainment/tom-hanks-rita-wilson-coronavirus/index.html https://www.bbc.com/news/uk-51827356 This is too serious to be ignored! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MeanRevert Posted March 12, 2020 Share Posted March 12, 2020 Black Swan event. You'll tell your grandkids about this time. Emanuel and kaylee 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mokara Posted March 13, 2020 Share Posted March 13, 2020 19 hours ago, MeanRevert said: Black Swan event. You'll tell your grandkids about this time. Back in the day when there was civilization, before Mad Max showed up and everything degenerated into lawless anarchy. Even today I can vividly recall the days when roving bands of bandits roamed the streets in their cars festooned with toilet paper.... Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
leslie Posted March 13, 2020 Share Posted March 13, 2020 8 hours ago, Mokara said: Back in the day when there was civilization, before Mad Max showed up and everything degenerated into lawless anarchy. Even today I can vividly recall the days when roving bands of bandits roamed the streets in their cars festooned with toilet paper.... so thats where all the toilet paper went 😲 i'm 266 kilometers from a capital city, even out here we have had panic buying tom hanks and his wife is apparently up at the gold coast uni hospital with coronavirus. So potentially anyone is likely to catch it. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Emanuel Posted March 13, 2020 Share Posted March 13, 2020 Take a look on these numbers: https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/ As proud former German resident, it's really impressive... : ) 10% of total deaths and in serious/critical condition compared with France, for example, for same range of infected people as of today. That should put authorities AND native people to wonder why ; -) shooter 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Emanuel Posted March 14, 2020 Share Posted March 14, 2020 https://www.theguardian.com/world/2020/mar/13/how-many-will-die-of-coronavirus-in-the-uk-a-closer-look-at-the-numbers shooter 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OliKMIA Posted March 14, 2020 Share Posted March 14, 2020 Emanuel 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Emanuel Posted March 14, 2020 Share Posted March 14, 2020 Someone sent me this one: https://www.huffingtonpost.it/entry/la-virologa-gismondo-60-70-di-italiani-sara-positivo-ma-non-preoccupiamoci_it So, no hard to take the picture why a country with about 12% of the total infected, shares 1/4 of death people with 200-250 deaths a day in the last days, 15x above the world average for the population ratio figures... And here's Germany numbers to compare (take a look on the number of deaths and patients in serious / critical condition and don't be surprised why people prefer the German cars, lenses, cameras and so on... mind you, German girls as well? : D sorry the joke in so dramatic times!) : This is what some experts have to say on the same topic! https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/coronavirus-expert-opinions/ stats source Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Emanuel Posted March 15, 2020 Share Posted March 15, 2020 To those who still wonder on QC there, my respect to Chinese people: Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Emanuel Posted March 15, 2020 Share Posted March 15, 2020 +368 deaths in the last 24 hours in Italy... more than 1/10 of the total of deaths in China until today... a country with about 25x the population of Italy! Too sad... Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rawshooter Posted March 18, 2020 Share Posted March 18, 2020 Now, Photokina has been cancelled... https://www.fujirumors.com/photokina-2020-canceled-due-to-coronavirus-outbreak-and-postponed-to-may-2022/ IronFilm 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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